Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.528173 0.583558 0.643234 0.712470 0.790779 0.876823 0.978822
2025-09-14 0.431771 0.506702 0.593480 0.702057 0.835172 0.994207 1.200320
2025-09-21 0.377064 0.460415 0.561688 0.695063 0.867980 1.087191 1.390321
2025-09-28 0.329542 0.414666 0.521945 0.668949 0.868092 1.132808 1.518708
2025-10-05 0.307927 0.398205 0.515854 0.683104 0.919212 1.247550 1.751302
2025-10-12 0.289091 0.382865 0.508712 0.693544 0.964310 1.356617 1.987610
2025-10-19 0.271339 0.366982 0.498716 0.697919 0.999660 1.453568 2.216339
2025-10-26 0.255813 0.352629 0.489172 0.701249 1.032609 1.548924 2.453459
2025-11-02 0.243267 0.341348 0.482778 0.708082 1.070682 1.655184 2.721704
2025-11-09 0.226338 0.322307 0.463273 0.692656 1.071175 1.699271 2.886328
2025-11-16 0.216818 0.313560 0.458450 0.699584 1.108274 1.807943 3.181925
2025-11-23 0.205357 0.301021 0.446759 0.694167 1.123575 1.879593 3.416762
2025-11-30 0.196412 0.291957 0.440111 0.696893 1.153854 1.982659 3.731911
2025-12-07 0.185441 0.279035 0.426427 0.686606 1.160011 2.041810 3.966908
2025-12-14 0.176157 0.268207 0.415364 0.679799 1.171547 2.111952 4.235540
2025-12-21 0.164094 0.252174 0.394663 0.654364 1.145788 2.105695 4.333637
2025-12-28 0.160207 0.249330 0.395857 0.668151 1.195920 2.257611 4.818564
2026-01-04 0.155935 0.245561 0.395169 0.678320 1.239781 2.401536 5.310431
2026-01-11 0.150959 0.240301 0.391519 0.682580 1.272043 2.524285 5.772308
2026-01-18 0.146153 0.235055 0.387537 0.685823 1.302384 2.646244 6.255161
2026-01-25 0.142174 0.231016 0.385435 0.692477 1.340406 2.790139 6.825575
2026-02-01 0.135272 0.221486 0.372831 0.677454 1.330375 2.820585 7.084163
2026-02-08 0.131885 0.218030 0.371162 0.684201 1.368637 2.971178 7.722487